The Jim Gavin Withdraws from Ireland's Race for the Presidency
In a surprising turn of events, one of the leading hopefuls in the Irish race for president has withdrawn from the contest, dramatically altering the election dynamics.
Sudden Exit Shakes Up Election Dynamics
The party's Jim Gavin pulled out on Sunday night following disclosures about an outstanding payment to a past renter, transforming the election into an volatile two-horse race between a centre-right past cabinet member and an autonomous progressive parliamentarian.
The 54-year-old Gavin, a newcomer to politics who was parachuted into the campaign after careers in sports, airline industry and defense, stepped aside after it was revealed he had not repaid a overpaid rent of over three thousand euros when he was a property owner about a decade and a half ago, during a period of financial difficulty.
"I made a mistake that was inconsistent with my values and the expectations I hold. Corrective actions are underway," he said. "I have also thought long and hard, regarding the possible effects of the current political contest on the health of my relatives and acquaintances.
"Weighing all these factors, I've chosen to exit from the presidential election contest with immediate effect and return to the arms of my family."
Contest Reduced to Two Main Contenders
A major surprise in a presidential campaign in living memory narrowed the contest to one candidate, a past government official who is campaigning for the ruling centre-right party Fine Gael, and another candidate, an outspoken supporter of Palestinian rights who is endorsed by a political party and minor progressive groups.
Challenge for Party Head
This departure also triggered a crisis for the taoiseach and Fianna Fáil leader, Micheál Martin, who had put his reputation on the line by choosing an unproven contender over the skepticism of associates in the party.
He commented Gavin did not want to "create turmoil" to the presidency and was correct to step down. "Gavin recognized that he committed a mistake in relation to an situation that has arisen in recent days."
Campaign Struggles
Even with a track record of skill and accomplishments in business and sport – he guided the Dublin football squad to five straight titles – his campaign had stumbled through blunders that put him at a disadvantage in an public opinion measure even ahead of the debt news.
Fianna Fáil figures who had opposed selecting Gavin said the situation was a "major error in judgment" that would have "repercussions" – a thinly veiled warning to Martin.
Election Rules
The candidate's name may still appear for selection in the poll taking place in late October, which will finish the long service of Michael D Higgins, but people must choose between a dichotomy between a traditional center candidate and an non-aligned left-leaning candidate. Survey results prior to Gavin's exit gave Connolly 32% support and 23 percent for Humphreys, with Gavin on 15%.
As per election guidelines, people pick contenders based on preference. In case nobody reaches half the votes initially, the contender receiving the lowest first preference votes is excluded and their votes are transferred to the subsequent choice.
Possible Ballot Shifts
Analysts predicted that if Gavin was eliminated, a majority of his ballots would shift to the other candidate, and vice versa, boosting the chance that a mainstream contender would attain the presidency for the governing partnership.
Presidential Duties
This office is a primarily ceremonial position but Higgins and his predecessors transformed it into a platform on global issues.
Remaining Candidates
Connolly, 68, from her home city, would introduce a robust progressive perspective to that tradition. She has criticized capitalist systems and said Hamas is "part of the fabric" of the Palestinian community. Connolly has alleged Nato of militarism and equated Berlin's enhanced defense expenditure to the 1930s, when the Nazi leader built up military forces.
Humphreys, 62, has faced scrutiny over her time in office in administrations that managed a property shortage. Being a member of that faith from the northern county, she has also been faulted for her inability to speak Irish but commented her faith tradition could aid in securing loyalists in the North in a reunified nation.